Anyone have a equation for monster combing?

Say for example I have 500 chaos and my combination success rate is 43%, how many of each tier monsters will I be able to get based purely on that 43% rate?

I haven't seen anything like that but I do know it can vary. It can be 10 success in a row or 10 fails in a row. Everyone will suggest waiting till combine event.

https://monsterwarlord.forumotion.com/t1990-excel-file-combination-calculation-table

This is basically what I'm looking for. But the link is dead and the creator is gone.

I have a copy of that file that was hosted on hotfile - here is my dropbox link to it:

https://www.dropbox.com/s/v724kz1vxmkjisa/HD-Combination%20Calculation_2.xlsx

Also, you can try this version too - it is from another user here, but I do not recall their name:

https://www.dropbox.com/s/uxhi27009dm2p5b/combine.xlsm

perfect, exactly what I needed. Thanks.